Welcome again to a different breakdown of the MLB PrizePicks board.
We now have 10 baseball video games on the schedule right this moment that begin at 6:40 p.m. ET or later.
Let’s dive proper in and focus on a few of my favourite projections to focus on when constructing out your PrizePicks playing cards for tonight’s MLB slate.
Joe Ryan Extra Than 6.0 Pitcher Strikeouts
Ryan has struck out not less than seven batters in three of his 4 begins since getting back from an IL stint because of a groin harm.
He has achieved that towards Texas twice and Tampa Bay — two of the higher offenses within the league.
The lone begin the place he fell quick was towards the Guardians, who’re one of many lowest strikeout groups in all of baseball.
On the season, Ryan owns a really robust 29.2% strikeout price, and he will get a terrific matchup towards the Reds right this moment.
The Reds have been extraordinarily strikeout-prone within the second half of the season, proudly owning the fourth-highest strikeout price (26.3%) within the league for the reason that All-Star break.
The one cause for concern is the Reds can get fairly left-handed towards Ryan right here. They mission to roll out seven lefties within the lineup right this moment.
Ryan has posted an elite strikeout price versus righties (34.2%), however he has been nearer to common towards lefties (23.9%).
Regardless of the lefties, the Reds nonetheless supply loads of strikeout upside for Ryan to file greater than 6 strikeouts right this moment.
John Means Much less Than 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Means returned to a big-league mound for the primary time since April 2022 simply final week, as he has been recovering from Tommy John surgical procedure.
He gave up 3 runs, together with 2 residence runs, and struck out only one batter in 5 innings of labor. It was a positive displaying for somebody coming off main arm surgical procedure, however he’s clearly not but again to high kind.
Means threw simply 75 pitches in his first begin, and I imagine we’re taking a look at a pitch rely of simply 85-90 pitches on this spot.
Right this moment, he will get a brutal matchup towards the Astros, who’ve struck out on the lowest price (18.3%) within the league versus left-handed pitching this season. They rank second within the league in each wOBA (.347) and wRC+ (122) versus lefties this yr.
Means can have a tricky time getting via this order greater than twice, particularly if he isn’t in high kind and is dealing with a restricted pitch rely.
I believe he information lower than 3.5 strikeouts right this moment.
Bryan Woo Much less Than 6.0 Pitcher Strikeouts
Woo is coming off a spectacular efficiency towards the Angels the place he struck out eight batters in simply 5.2 innings. It marked simply the fifth time in 15 begins this season that Woo recorded greater than 6 strikeouts, and he final did it again on July 23.
The Mariners have been cautious with the younger righty as he has averaged simply over 80 pitches per begin, and he has not pitched previous the sixth inning in any of his 15 begins this season.
Woo has an electrical fastball, however he has not but developed a breaking ball that permits him to rack up strikeouts. The truth is, has thrown some variation of a fastball (4-Seam, Sinker, Cutter) 86.8% of the time this season. His slider, which he makes use of simply 9.8% of the time, has generated solely a 17.0% Put-Away price this yr.
He does get a terrific matchup right this moment towards the Athletics, however they mission to roll out 5 lefties within the lineup. Woo has struck out simply 18.0% of lefties he has confronted this season (in comparison with 29.5% of righties).
He began a recreation towards this Oakland group final month and recorded 5 strikeouts in six innings.
I believe he information lower than 6 strikeouts this time round as properly.
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Michael Wacha Extra Than 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
Wacha has recorded greater than 5.5 strikeouts in three of his six begins since coming off the IL in mid-August.
One of many begins he fell quick was his first begin off the IL when he made solely 77 pitches as he was nonetheless constructing again as much as a full workload. One other was his final begin towards the Dodgers, among the finest offenses in baseball that strikeouts at only a 21.7% price as a group this season.
Right this moment, he will get among the finest matchups there’s, because the Padres welcome the Rockies to city. The Rockies have struck out on the third-highest price (25.3%) within the league this season. And so they have struck out on the highest price (27.3%) within the league when they’re away from Coors Subject.
Wacha ought to have the ability to pitch deep into this recreation because of the nice matchup, and I like him to file greater than 5.5 strikeouts alongside the best way.